November 21, 2022

Victorian Election Webinar – November 2022

Topic: Press Release, State Poll
Finding No: 9123
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Join Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine to discover:

  • Who is more trusted and who is more distrusted: Premier Daniel Andrews or Opposition Leader Matthew Guy?
  • Which political parties are trusted and which are distrusted?
  • Why do Victorians trust or distrust their political leaders and their parties?
  • What worries Victorians about the ALP or the LNP winning the upcoming state election?
  • An analysis of the voting trends by key demographics in the latest Roy Morgan poll on Victorian voting intentions.
  • What are the wildcards that could impact the results on Saturday?

Margin of Error

The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. Margin of error gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate.

Sample Size Percentage Estimate
40% – 60% 25% or 75% 10% or 90% 5% or 95%
1,000 ±3.0 ±2.7 ±1.9 ±1.3
5,000 ±1.4 ±1.2 ±0.8 ±0.6
7,500 ±1.1 ±1.0 ±0.7 ±0.5
10,000 ±1.0 ±0.9 ±0.6 ±0.4
20,000 ±0.7 ±0.6 ±0.4 ±0.3
50,000 ±0.4 ±0.4 ±0.3 ±0.2

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