Albanese Government maintains large two-party preferred lead while One Nation and the Coalition are tied on primary

In the last week ALP primary support was virtually unchanged at 30%, and the L-NP Coalition virtually unchanged at 22.5% - Liberals 19% and Nationals 3.5%. One Nation gained support, up 1% to 22.5%, while support for the Greens 14%, and Independents/ Other Parties 11% according to the Roy Morgan survey conducted from April 20-26, 2026, with a representative Australia-wide cross-section of 1,587 electors.

On a two-party preferred basis (based on how electors said they’d ’vote’ their preferences) ALP 54.5% (down 1%) is well ahead of L-NP 45.5% (up 1%). When preferences are allocated based on how Australians voted at the 2025 Federal Election, ALP 54% (down 0.5%) leads L-NP 46% (up 0.5%).

ALP maintains large two-party preferred lead among women, but two parties are almost even for men

Analysis by gender shows the ALP leading strongly amongst women on a two-party preferred basis: ALP 59% (down 1.5% points) cf. L-NP 41% (up 1.5% points).

However, amongst men, there continues to be a much closer result. On a two-party preferred: L-NP 50.5% (up 1% point) cf. ALP 49.5% (down 1% point).

If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would be returned to Government with a clear majority under either method

Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating of 65 - 35 points below the neutral level of 100:
Only 25.5% of electors say the country is ‘going in the right direction’

The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating decreased by 2pts to 65 this week. However, a large majority of Australians still say the country is ‘going in the wrong direction’, 60.5% (up 1% point). Only 25.5% (down 1% point) say the country is ‘going in the right direction’.

The low Government Confidence comes as concerns about fuel shortages and rising petrol and diesel prices persist in Australia, and the apparent breakdown of the two-week ceasefire between the United States and Iran risks causing further problems for Australia’s energy supplies over the next few weeks and months.

There remain considerable differences in the Government Confidence Rating by party. Despite falling this week, Government Confidence among ALP supporters remains at a high level of 118 (down 7.5pts from a week ago), but for supporters of all other parties is below the neutral level of 100.

Greens supporters have Government Confidence of 78.5 (down 1.5pts from a week ago), above L-NP Coalition supporters on only 54.5 (up 18.5pts) and supporters of Independents/ Other Parties have Government Confidence of 48.5 (down 16.5pts). One Nation supporters have a Government Confidence Rating of just 12, despite improving 4pts from a week ago.

Roy Morgan Interviewing in March & April 2026: Primary Vote & Two-Party Preferred

*Interviewing dates of Australian electors aged 18+: March 30 – April 5, 2026 (n=.1,411); April 6-12, 2026 (n=1,512);
April 13-19, 2026 (n=1,620) and April 20-26, 2026 (n=1,587).

ALP leads among Australians aged under 50, Coalition leads for people aged 50+

Analysis of voting patterns by age shows clear trends – on a two-party preferred basis, ALP support is clearly strongest among those aged under 50, while the L-NP Coalition is strongest among those aged 50+.

Among people aged 18-34 the ALP has a commanding two-party preferred lead: ALP 71% cf. L-NP 29% - and this is built on the combined primary support of the ALP (33%) and the Greens (25%).

For people aged 35-49, those most likely to have a mortgage and a young family, the ALP has a large two-party preferred lead: ALP 58% cf. L-NP 42%. Primary support for the ALP (29%) is clearly ahead of the second-placed One Nation (21.5%) in this age group.

For people aged 50-64 the L-NP Coalition continues to lead: L-NP 52% cf. ALP 48%. Primary support in this age group is highest for One Nation (33.5%) ahead of the ALP (28.5%).

For people aged 65+, the L-NP Coalition leads clearly on a two-party preferred basis: L-NP 59% cf. ALP 41%, built on large primary support for the L-NP Coalition on 35.5% well ahead of the ALP on 29%.

Of all electors surveyed last week, 5.5% (up 0.5%) can’t say who they would vote for. When comparing different polls, it is always important to make sure to take note of the dates when the polls are conducted to undertake a proper comparison between two polls.

Roy Morgan Interviewing for April 20-26, 2026: By Gender & Age

*Interviewing dates of Australian electors aged 18+: April 20-26, 2026 (n=1,587).

Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by Roy Morgan Chief Executive Officer Michele Levine.

For detailed analysis such as by States, capital cities/country areas, age, gender, occupation, and education contact Julian McCrann on (03) 9224 5365 or email julian.mccrann@roymorgan.com.

About Roy Morgan

Roy Morgan is Australia’s largest independent Australian research company, with offices in each state, as well as in the U.S. and U.K. A full-service research organisation, Roy Morgan has over 80 years’ experience collecting objective, independent information on consumers.