Albanese Government retains strong two-party preferred lead after US strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities: ALP 57.5% cf. L-NP 42.5%

In the final week of June, and following immediately after the US strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, the ALP 57.5% has maintained a large two-party preferred lead over the L-NP Coalition 42.5%, virtually unchanged on a week earlier, the latest Roy Morgan survey finds.

Interviewing for this survey began on Monday June 23 following a stunning US bombing raid on Iranian nuclear facilities over the previous weekend (June 21/22). Soon after there was a brief Iranian retaliation on a US military base in Qatar (June 23), and then a ceasefire between Israel and Iran which began on Tuesday afternoon Australian time (June 24) and has held throughout the rest of the week.

Last Monday (June 23), Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Foreign Minister Penny Wong expressed support for the decision by the United States to strike the Iranian nuclear facilities and reiterated Australia’s position that Iran not be able to develop nuclear weapons.

In the final week of June primary support for the ALP was at 36.5% (down 1% since early June) and is clearly ahead of the Liberal-National Coalition on 30.5% (down 0.5%).

Support for the Greens was unchanged on 12% and support for One Nation increased 2.5% to 8.5%. In addition, support for Independents/Other Parties was at 12.5% (down 1%).

Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating drops back into negative territory below 100

The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating dropped 9 points to 92.5 during the final week of June.

Now a plurality of 46% (up 4.5% since early June) of Australians say the country is ‘going in the wrong direction’ compared to 38.5% (down 4.5%) that say the country is ‘going in the right direction’.

The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,522 Australian electors from June 23-29, 2025. Of all electors surveyed, a high 9.5% (up 2.5% since early June) can’t say who they would vote for. When comparing different polls, it is always important to make sure to take note of the dates when the polls are conducted to undertake a proper comparison between two polls.

When preferences from this week’s Roy Morgan survey are allocated based on how Australians voted at the recent 2025 Federal Election the two-party preferred result produced is slightly less favourable to the Albanese Government with the ALP on 56.5% leading the L-NP Coalition on 43.5%. This compares to the final Federal Election result which had the ALP on 55.2% cf. L-NP Coalition on 44.8%.

Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by Roy Morgan Roy Morgan Poll Manager Julian McCrann.

For detailed analysis such as by States, capital cities/country areas, age, gender, occupation, and education contact Julian McCrann on (03) 9224 5365 or email julian.mccrann@roymorgan.com.

About Roy Morgan

Roy Morgan is Australia’s largest independent Australian research company, with offices in each state, as well as in the U.S. and U.K. A full-service research organisation, Roy Morgan has over 80 years’ experience collecting objective, independent information on consumers.